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When is the Next Crash Coming?

The US housing market is facing a number of challenges in 2024, with rising interest rates, inflation, and the potential for a recession all contributing to uncertainty in the market. These factors could lead to a slowdown in home price growth or even a housing market crash. Experts have weighed in on the potential for another housing market crash, with some cautiously optimistic while others are more pessimistic about the outlook for 2024.

One of the key factors that could contribute to a housing market crash is the rising interest rates set by the Federal Reserve to combat inflation. Higher interest rates make it more expensive to borrow money for a mortgage, which could lead to a decline in demand for housing. Inflation is also at a 40-year high, eroding consumers‘ purchasing power and making it difficult for some people to afford to buy a home. Economists are warning of a potential recession in 2024, which could lead to job losses and a decline in consumer confidence, further dampening demand for housing.

Despite these challenges, there are also factors that could support the housing market. Strong housing demand, especially among millennials and first-time homebuyers, remains high due to population growth, low unemployment, and rising incomes. Additionally, the limited housing supply, caused by shortages of building materials and labor, as well as homeowners reluctant to sell in a hot market, is helping to keep home prices high.

While there are concerns about the housing market, most real estate professionals do not believe that it will crash or trigger a recession. The mortgage sector has taken steps to prevent a repeat of the Great Recession, eliminating bad mortgages and implementing stricter requirements for borrowers. The housing shortage is severe, with more people looking to buy and rent homes than there are available, which could help stabilize the market.

The increased demand for homes from the millennial generation may act as a buffer against a potential housing market crash. Millennials now make up the largest percentage of home buyers, with many purchasing homes for the first time. Despite challenges such as debt and affordability, the trend of younger generations buying homes is expected to continue, providing stability to the housing market.

While there are concerns about the housing market in 2024, including rising interest rates, inflation, and the potential for a recession, most experts do not believe that a crash is imminent. The market may experience a slowdown in home price growth, but overall indicators suggest a stable market with continued demand and limited supply. The housing market may face challenges, but it is not expected to crash in the near future.

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