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Data shows the US defense industry’s increasing independence from the overall economy

The United States‘ defense industrial base is undergoing a significant transformation, as highlighted in a recent report from the Center for Strategic and International Studies. The report, authored by Greg Allen and Doug Berenson, reveals that major private sector suppliers in the defense industry are increasingly catering primarily to government customers, leading to their isolation from the broader commercial economy.

The study delves into historical data dating back to 1977, tracking the allocation of the major weapons system acquisition budget to commercial companies versus defense specialists. The findings indicate a notable shift from the Cold War era, where commercial companies played a prominent role in both defense and non-defense markets.

According to the report, the current landscape of the defense industrial base is dominated by a core group of traditional defense contractors, with a significant portion of Department of Defense (DOD) acquisition spending concentrated in their hands. This trend marks a departure from the past when commercial companies were actively engaged in supplying to the DOD.

The report attributes this transformation to various factors, including heightened regulatory burdens and industry consolidations. The authors emphasize that the current structure of the defense industrial base is not set in stone and highlight the possibility of a different configuration that existed not long ago.

In response to the evolving landscape, the DOD has been making efforts to engage a mix of start-ups and established commercial firms to leverage emerging technologies for military applications. The return of venture capital investors to defense markets, particularly in companies like SpaceX and Palantir, signifies a positive trend towards fostering innovation in the defense sector.

However, the authors stress the importance of encouraging companies that can successfully navigate both defense and commercial markets. While there are promising developments in areas such as cloud computing and space launch, a more widespread trend of dual-market success is desirable for the industry’s growth and resilience.

In conclusion, the report sheds light on the changing dynamics of the defense industrial base and underscores the need for a more diverse and adaptable ecosystem that can effectively meet the evolving demands of national security. By fostering innovation, collaboration, and flexibility, the defense industry can position itself for continued success in an increasingly complex and competitive global landscape.

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